Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.002475 0.002623 0.002782 0.002965 0.003173 0.003403 0.003678
2025-05-04 0.002308 0.002519 0.002758 0.003054 0.003415 0.003853 0.004437
2025-05-11 0.002150 0.002394 0.002682 0.003055 0.003541 0.004175 0.005112
2025-05-18 0.002072 0.002349 0.002688 0.003148 0.003785 0.004684 0.006177
2025-05-25 0.001965 0.002254 0.002617 0.003127 0.003863 0.004973 0.007007
2025-06-01 0.001861 0.002153 0.002527 0.003065 0.003871 0.005147 0.007703
2025-06-08 0.001819 0.002129 0.002534 0.003135 0.004079 0.005689 0.009388
2025-06-15 0.001775 0.002096 0.002524 0.003178 0.004249 0.006208 0.011425
2025-06-22 0.001707 0.002027 0.002459 0.003131 0.004260 0.006425 0.012864
2025-06-29 0.001643 0.001959 0.002391 0.003071 0.004240 0.006573 0.014267
2025-07-06 0.001590 0.001904 0.002337 0.003028 0.004245 0.006775 0.016168
2025-07-13 0.001506 0.001803 0.002212 0.002865 0.004010 0.006387 0.015126
2025-07-20 0.001470 0.001769 0.002187 0.002864 0.004089 0.006778 0.018606
2025-07-27 0.001457 0.001766 0.002206 0.002939 0.004323 0.007649 0.028629
2025-08-03 0.001424 0.001735 0.002181 0.002936 0.004406 0.008163 0.041286
2025-08-10 0.001415 0.001737 0.002206 0.003021 0.004685 0.009438 0.130889
2025-08-17 0.001382 0.001702 0.002173 0.003001 0.004731 0.009973 1.063079
2025-08-24 0.001343 0.001657 0.002121 0.002944 0.004685 0.010150 NaN
2025-08-31 0.001333 0.001655 0.002136 0.003008 0.004936 0.011749 NaN
2025-09-07 0.001319 0.001644 0.002138 0.003048 0.005136 0.013403 NaN
2025-09-14 0.001288 0.001609 0.002097 0.003004 0.005114 0.013857 NaN
2025-09-21 0.001257 0.001572 0.002052 0.002949 0.005054 0.014061 NaN
2025-09-28 0.001230 0.001541 0.002016 0.002909 0.005033 0.014523 NaN